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Just another Spring day in Sweden




The Swedish model is getting a lot of buzz these days, and I don't mean Elsa Hosk.  Unlike most of the Europe. Sweden chose to pretty much go on with things as normal, believing they would lick this nasty virus with "herd immunity."  According to Hans Bergstrom, it isn't working, but that's not stopping the state epidemiologist from declaring victory, largely because he is under the impression Swedes believe they don't need a government imposed lockdown to stay safe.

The numbers don't match with the view, however.  Sweden has far more deaths per capita than its Scandinavian and Baltic neighbors, and its numbers are spiking, not plateauing as state health officials claim.  But, don't tell American conservative bloggers.  They love the Swedish model because it fits with their belief that lockdowns produce no better results.

The interesting thing about the state's leading epidemiologist is he didn't even factor asymptomatic carriers when he suggested this approach to the government.  It is highly doubtful the country has developed any special immunity.  They simply haven't done enough testing to determine who the carriers are and what impact they have on the population as a whole.

When you look at Stockholm's numbers, they are not faring any better than other hard-hit metropolitan centers around the world.  The death toll per capita is comparable to that of New York.  Worse, it has a staggering 11 percent mortality rate, if its case numbers are correct!  That's pretty grim for a country that prides itself on its national health care system.

Sweden has been forced to take a number of restrictive measures like limiting the size of gatherings and quarantining nursing homes due to surging numbers.  However, the government has kept most schools open, which greatly worries parents.  This hit and miss approach is what led to a huge spike in reported cases and deaths in Britain, which had initially championed the herd immunity theory before finally imposing a lockdown.  For the better part of a week, PM Boris Johnson's life seemed to be hanging on a thread.  Unfortunately by this point the damage was done, and that may well be the case for Sweden too.

There is no way to escape this virus.  The hope is that by restricting public gatherings and trying to keep people more or less contained, the contagion can be spread out over a longer period of time and not cause undo stress on the health care system.  This will give epidemiologists more time to come up with effective treatments, adequate testing and eventually a vaccine for the virus.

These lockdowns do create a certain degree of hardships, especially among those who have lost their jobs, but Sweden should be prepared for this, as the country has the financial reserves to compensate its citizens.  It just seems that greed has won out with the government determined to weather this storm no matter how high the death toll.


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