Thursday, November 8, 2012
It's the math, stupid!
I like the title if nothing else. Nate Silver was plugging his book on the Colbert Nation. Here is a review from the LA Times.
And yet during the 2008 elections, it took mere months for Nate Silver to become one of the political world's most respected experts, the guy anyone who wanted to be taken seriously had to cite. With good reason: Unlike so many of the people who make their living predicting elections, Nate Silver can do math.
Silver, who got his start working with baseball statistics before eventually moving on to politics and founding his website FiveThirtyEight.com (now part of the New York Times), acknowledges as much in his new book, "The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — but Some Don't."
Surprised he didn't go with a baseball metaphor, but I guess he has a thing for Faulkner.