Let's turn the page!

If this Iowa poll holds true, the MAGA cult is in for a long night.  It could signal a tectonic shift in the electorate that sees many states falling Kamala's way on election evening, not just the battleground states.  It's easy to see why this could happen, as Trump has taken to climbing into garbage trucks and simulating blow jobs on microphones in the waning days of the campaign.  Oh, and threatening firing squads for political opponents.  There are no guardrails left, especially when he shows up in a safety vest to political rallies.

This SNL segment sums up the campaign in a nutshell, replete with a cameo by Kamala Harris staring back at her doppelganger in the mirror.  This is her moment and Donald Dump literally paved the way for her by becoming so detached from reality that he now seems to be living inside a hall of mirrors.

It's not just Iowa.  Many states are turning Kamala's way in the closing week. They were probably there from the moment she entered the campaign as everyone was tired of Donald Trump and Joe Biden trading barbs and so desperately wanted a fresh face.  Nikki Haley said herself that the first party to drop their "old guy" will win this election.  

But, the pollsters kept insisting it was close and so bent their polls accordingly.  I suppose in this way they could claim they were right either way the election went by intentionally keeping the differences within the "margin of error."  If Kamala started "polling" better in one state, there would soon be other polls to counter it, and then RCP and 538 would adjust their "weighted averages" accordingly, to the point the differences were within one percentage point across the board.  FTR, 538 still gives Trump a 53% chance of winning the election.  A "forecast" that hasn't changed in weeks, thanks to its "weighted averages" that continue to take into account Trump's "hidden supporters."  

What if the "hidden supporters" are lurking in Kamala's poll numbers?  All but one poll shows Kamala ahead in Wisconsin in this Forbes summary, yet 538 only gives Kamala a 0.7% "weighted average."

She's done the most to get new voters to the polls with a volunteer campaign that echoes that of Obama in 2008.  In Pennsylvania an estimated 100,000 new voters have already voted, dominated by new Democratic women voters.  Who do you think they are going to vote for?  We are seeing record turnouts in Georgia and North Carolina, which bore the brunt of Hurricane Donald's misinformation campaign that interfered with FEMA and state hurricane relief efforts.  Who do you think is driving these numbers?

Throughout this campaign, Trump has relied on his vaudeville act to draw attention to himself.  His surrogates have obliged him with similar campaign stunts like Elon's million dollar lottery in the Midwest states.  It generates headlines but it doesn't necessarily generate votes.  Anyone can game Elon's lottery.  There's no guarantee those participating are newly registered Republican voters.  You have to get out on the ground, go door to door, and make your presence known in the communities.  Team Trump is not doing this.  They are relying almost entirely on media outreach and his now infamous rallies.  Trump thinks his name is big enough to carry him.

What he doesn't take into account is that he repels voters as much or more than he attracts.  Yet, he continues to believe he has the support of 250 million Americans.  He literally tried to ride Joe Biden's comment that his supporters are "garbage," by stumbling into a garbage truck on the tarmac of a Wisconsin airport, and claiming that Biden's comment referred to all the Americans who didn't vote for Joe in 2020.  This unbelievable stunt made him literally look like garbage with his name emblazoned on the truck.

He might have gotten some mileage out of this stunt if he didn't turn around the next day and threaten Liz Cheney with a firing squad.  Of course, his handlers claim the comment was made in jest.  Yet, we remember when Sarah Palin put crosshairs on Gabby Giffords and a young gunman took a shot at her at a 2011 campaign event in Tucson, Arizona.  Palin had marked vulnerable Democratic House and Senate candidates in the 2012 election.  Trump made this obscene comment during an interview with Tucker Carlson in Arizona!

Of course this coalition Kamala Harris has formed will quickly break down if she is elected.  These Republicans are not so much supporting her as they are campaigning against Trump.  They hope that when the dust settles, they will regain their seats in Congress or at the state level, and help rebuild their fallen party.  That's an awful lot of Republicans Trump has to contend with, not just Liz Cheney, but for whatever perverse reason he chose to single her out.  I suppose because she sat on the House Jan. 6 panel that implicated him in the insurrection that day, which he now calls a "Day of Love."

I think people are fed up with these neverending false statements and obscene gestures and really do want to "turn the page," as Kamala has been saying throughout the campaign.  Why should Americans subject themselves to another four years of Trump's White House Reality Show, which we all know will be even worse a second time around.  There's simply too much at stake to allow a man of this volatile temperament in the Oval Office, not to mention the offal he would drag in on the heels of his shoes, like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Elon Musk, promising to remake Washington in their image.  It's just plain weird, to repeat a refrain we heard early on the campaign trail, and creepy too.